Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting Asta:
Hey all-
4.5 inches of rain here North of Covington, LA-
just stopped raining.. Bonnie's fizzle-drizzle was great for the garden...

??? Wow. 15 miles away from you, we got under an inch.

I did notice yesterday and this morning that you guys were getting a lot more on the radar...

Quoting sammywammybamy:


To all in Lousiana, Have you Seen this man today?




EDIT: ITS JIM CANTORE.

I have seen him many times in the past 20 years or so...Good Morning Sammy and Atmo..

Quoting Weather456:


the wave marks the the leading edge of the SAL airmass

Hi 456, Dakar, Senegal is way over on the east coast.

Quoting hydrus:
I have seen him many times in the past 20 years or so...Good Morning Sammy and Atmo..

G'morn. Break time while I go make coffee. Been sitting on the porch watching the trees sway leaves wiggle in the winds breeze.

Good Morning All,

Even though there is a lot of SAL around, it looks like there's plenty of moisture in the caribbean.

For those that cannot see the tropical wave in the central caribbean look at:

water vapor loop - nearing 70W notice cyclonic turning in the mid-level dry air.

AVN infrared - notice light shower activity approaching 70W marking the line of convergence along the surface reflection of the wave.

San Juan Upper Air time obs - notice the jet max near 24-25 July at 800mb-750mb

and weak vorticity anomaly at 700 mb.

Quoting atmoaggie:
G'morn. Break time while I go make coffee. Been sitting on the porch watching the trees sway leaves wiggle in the winds breeze.

hahahaha...cute. yes, atmo. it's all in the editing! good morning.

Quoting atmoaggie:
??? Wow. 15 miles away from you, we got under an inch.

I did notice yesterday and this morning that you guys were getting a lot more on the radar...

we had a big gush this morning with lots of lightning strikes. Both Dogs got scared, jumped up on the bed shaking from the thunder.. The geese didn't care.. I'm just grateful for the rain. Keeps things cooler.
if the season stays like this- I'm fine with that.

Quoting Asta:

we had a big gush this morning with lots of lightning strikes. Both Dogs got scared, jumped up on the bed shaking from the thunder.. The geese didn't care.. I'm just grateful for the rain. Keeps things cooler.
if the season stays like this- I'm fine with that.

Positive thinking! +1

Quoting Weather456:
For those that cannot see the tropical wave in the central caribbean look at:

water vapor loop - nearing 70W notice cyclonic turning in the mid-level dry air.

AVN infrared - notice light shower activity approaching 70W marking the line of convergence along the surface reflection of the wave.

San Juan Upper Air time obs - notice the jet max near 24-25 July at 800mb-750mb

and weak vorticity anomaly at 700 mb.

Do you think has potential for development?

notice the area off nicuragua,looks like next invest IMO!!!

That's fantastic! Thanks 456!
I see it now.

Good Morning StormW,Ike,W456 and everyone else, I see we all have our coffee this morning.
At least our wave brought some rain and cooled down the temps a little. Last week at the boat shop the heat index was 112. It was so hot. Sometimes it makes it hard to breath. So from what i am reading it's suppose to be quite for the next couple of weeks. I read your blog StormW really good update. And Thank You. You make it easy to read for the ones that don't understand all the weather terms. So does Levi and some others. Thanks for all the work you all do and the time you take to do it.
sheri

Quoting wxhatt:


Do you think has potential for development?

once it reaches the area of low pressure in the WCAIB (1-2 days), it will have a small window of opportunity in which to do so before the entire area moves across CAMERICA (2-3 days).

Quoting DestinJeff:


here you go, Ike.

Action:
Quote
| Ignore User

LOL...

On second thought, this dewpoint drop is prolly just the usual diurnal cycle-type. Right time of day for it...

Thanks!
I gave the dogs some breakfast and they're better now..no more thunder!

look near 14N,81W that appears to be where a surface circulation is trying/starting to intiate IMO...

Weather456 is catching the storms first again! Thanks 456.

456..once in the W. Carib an upper trof is expected over in the E. US coast. If it hung around could the potential system go north?

Quoting Weather456:


once it reaches the area of low pressure in the WCAIB (1-2 days), it will have a small window of opportunity in which to do so before the entire area moves across CAMERICA (2-3 days).

sheer over the area is 10ktish,looks like a anticyclone building aloft near the area as well(nicaragua area)....

00z ECMWF shows a weaker system 192 hours out but still there. Its worth watching.



12z GFS para is interesting, looks like a strong wave/ TD off Africa at 162 hours.


at 192 hours


Will be interesting if either of these scenarios play out.

Ya think there's a high pressure centered just north of NC?

Quoting IKE:


LOL!

Anytime anybody comes on here and says....

(1)I've been lurking for years....
(2)Thought I would finally join in on the blog....

Sorry...it raises an eyebrow.

I come in peace IKE.... I've always noticed you are one of the most verbose in the group and I enjoy reading your entries. I look forward to interacting with everyone when it gets dicey in here :)

Quoting IKE:
Ya think there's a high pressure centered just north of NC?

Yes, because I'm baking in SC.

Tropical Storm Bonnie amounted to what is equalivent to Mother Nature having a "tropical fart" just little wind.

Quoting IKE:
Ya think there's a high pressure centered just north of NC?

i do, its gonna be 104 here today.....

Quoting CybrTeddy:
00z ECMWF shows a weaker system 192 hours out but still there. Its worth watching.



12z GFS para is interesting, looks like a strong wave/ TD off Africa at 162 hours.


at 192 hours


Will be interesting if either of these scenarios play out.

You may of missed the disturbance in the SW Caribbean on the 12z parallel GFS at 192 hours. Although it is long range it is something to watch for nonetheless.

Notice how slow the blog is when nothing is out there.

Never doubt ones Luck,and the Power of the Antiques Road Show.

Wife made it onto the production floor at the Antiques Road Show in Biloxi yesterday.

And when the appraiser told her what the value of a Single Pottery piece was.

She,,and a friend in the green room watching the Taping production,,well...went directly to tears.

Im still in shock.


Were very happy.

Show will air in January.

Quoting Patrap:
Never doubt ones Luck,and the Power of the Antiques Road Show.

Wife made it onto the production floor at the Antiques Road Show in Biloxi yesterday.

And when the appraiser told her what the value of a Single Pottery piece was.

She,,and a friend in the green room watching the Taping production,,well...went directly to tears.

Im still in shock.


Were very happy.

Show will air in January.

Congrats!!

Good Morning,
2) Just had to post to watch Ike's eyebrow raise again. 1) Have been lurking since getting stuck inside with Fla's 4 in a row and ran across the site. Belong to the old school, don't say much unless I know something about it and then I talk your ear off. Since I know little about the weather, there has been no reason to post.
Only posting now to say I liked Storm's rendition of a hypothesis chart to analyse the predictors for the rest of the season. I may use that in my class to illustrate how to study a complex system.
As to the drama, it once again illustrates that physical science is not dull once the scientists, pseudo-scientists, and anti-scientists enter the picture. It is a key part of science in the real world that scientists have to learn to deal with.
Looks like a Chamber of Commerce day in Ormond Beach. Have a great day!

Was perfect sleeping in weather from Bonnie's remnant's Uptown this am too..rumbling and stumbling it was.

Quoting Asta:

Congrats!!

tyvm...

One has to find a Big Safety Deposit Box though.

by Maya Rodriguez / Eyewitness News

wwltv.com

Posted on July 24, 2010 at 6:24 PM

Updated yesterday at 6:24 PM

GRAND ISLE, La - From overcast skies and rain, to the hot sun and steam that followed, revelers at Island Aid didn't let anything get in their way of a good time.

"It looks like South Beach out here, don't you think?" said Philip Toups of Thibodaux.

Grand Isle's beach opened up to the public for the benefit concert, which is taking the place of this year's Tarpon Rodeo. It is the first time in more than 80 years that the rodeo has been canceled-- all because of the BP oil spill. The tourism-based economy on the island has been hit hard. Bobby Pitre's art is depicting some of that frustration, through its oil spill-related images.

LLC of ex Bonnie still offshore at 28N/93.5W