Gert brushing Bermuda; a new all-time 1-day rainfall record for NYC
Tropical Storm Gert, the 7th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, is here. Gert's formation on August 14 marks the 4th earliest date for the season's 7th storm. Only 2005, 1995, and 1936 have had an earlier formation of the season's 7th storm. Gert will pass very close to Bermuda today, but thus far the island has had no wind or rain from Gert, with top winds at the Bermuda Airport of just 9 mph as of 10 am EDT. Radar out of Bermuda shows the rains from Gert are staying just offshore, moving northward, parallel to the island. An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft is in the storm, and has found that Gert has not changed much in intensity since last night. Top surface winds seen by their SFMR instrument this morning as of 10am EDT were 48 mph, though higher winds of 58 mph that may be erroneous due to rain interference were measured. It currently appears that Gert's northerly motion will keep virtually all of the storm's rains just offshore from from Bermuda. Gert should not trouble any land areas after moving past Bermuda.
Figure 1. Morning radar image of Gert from the Bermuda radar .
Elsewhere in the tropics
The disturbance we've been tracking over the past few days in the open Atlantic between Africa and the Lesser Antilles, Invest 93L, has regenerated a modest amount of heavy thunderstorms and will bring heavy rain showers and gusty winds to the Lesser Antilles today and Tuesday as it moves westwards through the islands at 15 - 20 mph. Dry air surrounds 93L, and is interfering with development. However, the disturbance is steadily moistening its environment and is under low wind shear of 5 - 10 knots, so could begin to organize over the next few days as it tracks across the Caribbean. The latest 06Z run of the NOGAPS model is showing weak development of 93L once it reaches the western Caribbean, with a track over Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and into the Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. Stay tuned.
Figure 2. Radar-estimated rainfall for the past 2 days from the Long Island, NY radar.
New York City sets an all-time 1-day rainfall record
A long series of "training" thunderstorms that each moved along the same path deluged the New York City and Newark areas yesterday, smashing an all-time 1-day rainfall record at New York City's JFK Airport, which recorded 7.80 inches of rain. It was the most rain at JFK since record keeping began in 1948. The previous record was a 6.3" deluge on June 30, 1984. New York City's official measuring site, Central Park, got 5.81" yesterday, the fifth wettest day on record there. The 6.40" that fell on Newark, NJ yesterday was that city's 2nd heaviest 1-day rainfall in history, next to the 6.73" that fell on November 3, 1977.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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See post's 260-261 and 262
a)60 MPH
b)65 MPH
c)70 MPH
d)75 MPH
e)80 MPH
f)HIGHER
Yeah, those look more in sync. Definitely makes you wonder about the eventual fate of 93L because a weakness could certainly be present along the Central/Eastern GOM at the time 93L is in the Western Caribbean.
Only if he shares.. ;)
I hope you don't get too much of it to cause flooding ...
Why bother with the expense?
Hurricane X will do the job free of charge!
;)
Such long range projections do serve as wake-up reminder we're nearing prime time / need for residents to finalize storm-readiness preparations... and I'm guilty of a few tasks still awaiting my attention! Besides the extra Fresca...
Good to see you are On The Ball, Pat.
As usual, too.
heheheh
Member Since: June 24, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 450
Proof of posts by cloudburst2011 BEFORE June 24th would be greatly appreciated.
Till then...
Its been deactivated.
Was a quasi-tropical system in the North Atlantic.
Phew! Thanks. Kind of caught me off-guard there for a second.
Saints open vs Green Bay Sept 8 NFL opener,,last 2 SB champs slugfest.
Indeed now thru the 8th on "The Chart" is Voodoo time.
Checking the Stabil Fuel today with a Jenny Crank and 5 minute run.
93L has been fighting Dry Air for several days.
It is still doing the ON & OFF sequence.
But today it looks good to go.
Yes, the Dry is restricting it, but in spite of that, and in spite of the History that goes with the Dead Spot in the East Carib., I say we MAY see something unusual here!
BBL>>>>>>>>>
Still some SUPER Dry Air to overcome......it will have to makes its on Moist Environment to become a player in the tropics.
96L was re-activated this AM, not sure if its been de-activated again.
Do I hear a Glass crinkling down there with ice and spirit's as you observe for us?
Gonna need xtra ice And a Umbrella me tinks too.
Yes, lefy and nash do ring a bell. But cloudburst2011 from 2004 doesn't.
Try again.
Ref? How bout I be Drill Instructor Teddy. LOL.
Now while we are glad he is into atmospheric science and the tropics, it's usually the same old. Eastcoast of Florida or U.S. He's more entertainment than Meteorology. Main people to listen to are any Mets or the NHC and it's discussions.. and also peeps..anything more than 3 days out.. you can throw out.. unless ECMWF,GFS and GFDL all agree on that or even up to 5 days. More than that.. just pick up your usual Farmer Alnamac
True. We Mississippians know all about having hurricanes clearing the foundation. :-p
Shudder's nervously at Port arms.
Now agreeing on developing 93L later in the period (W Carib) and subsequent waves in the CATL /EATL.
Yep. That's what I got out of the recent runs as well. And what I hope others get from them too. You don't know where they might end up. But chances are monsters can form from here on out. Everyone needs to pay attention and be prepared. Although I don't think that will stop us talking about what a model says 15 days out. LOL. Just too much to ask. :p
forward.. march!
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