Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Hmm... That wave does look healthy. However, I think that it is beginning to dissipate. Notice the outflow? I think that is a sign of dying Thunderstorms. Either that or It'll be a cat 3 tomorrow.

I think your correct about the thunderstorms. If this was a tropical system than outflow would mean organization.

Looking at the radar, I guess it's not just limited to supercells.

Tropical Storm Allison's low-level circulation dissipated, though the mid-level circulation persisted. It emerged into the Gulf of Mexico on the 4th, and developed deep convection on its eastern side. On June 5, the mid-level circulation extended to the surface, and organized into Tropical Storm Allison while just 140 miles (225 km) to the south of Galveston, Texas.

WPB- If I am remembering correctly, Allison killed many people in Texas and gave several major cities Major Flooding. Over a foot and a half of rain in some parts, correct?

Big drop. Link

No i've just learned that a green sky means tie your lawn furniture and get inside!

I think your correct about the thunderstorms. If this was a tropical system than outflow would mean organization.

Right. :)

Anyone got any surface maps they could link? I'm curious about wheather or not that is an actual wave or just a large thunderstorm complex.

Or, could anyone explain to me how to tell if it is a wave via Satalite?

WPB- If I am remembering correctly, Allison killed many people in Texas and gave several major cities Major Flooding. Over a foot and a half of rain in some parts, correct?

Yup. Mainly because Allison stalled over Houston and Houston is flat. Stalled Tropical Storm + Flat Land = BIG PROBLEM.

JP, i will agree with Chris being a Tropical Storm but not Allison

I'm just thinking what kind of rain that might bring if it was moving out 8 or 10 weeks from now . . .

Good thing it's just June.

T2- It's really not worth the argument, so just save your fingers. It doesn't matter whether you're right or wrong.. The NHC called it Tropical, They are the Officials, and that's what it is. You can't change it. It's a futile argument if you continue to stake a claim to the contrary. I'm just being blunt with you T2, so please don't take this personally. It's not meant in a hostile way.

The cell here is pushing out a gust front my way from Lake Ponchrtrain..Link

WPB- That's what I thought.. Houston was gridlocked for days because of floods and there was something like 2-3 million people attempting to navigate elsewhere.. Crazy. Imagine a Major Hurricane hitting Houston.. :O

BTW- Don't forget tonight at 9pm.. TWC Showing "It could happen Tomorrow" Major Hurricane Making Landfall in Downtown Miami. Gulp.

EUMETSAT's servers are down . . . bummer.

Its a lot closer than shown on the radar image..its a few minutes stale..

hey patrap you live near new orleans right...haha heads up hope yall dont see this weather that were getting here in the lafayette area yikes!

Right Oh.

Everyone is entitled to post their opinion and i did but i'll stop now just in case it turns the blog into a verbal argument.

I aint a-skeered. But may head the family into the House outta the Trailer till it passes.Ill be on after ..

i've observed rotating clouds and my local weather station reported rotation in my cell....i dont think a tornado was spawned though if so the report hasnt came in yet

Right Oh.

Everyone is entitled to post their opinion and i did but i'll stop now just in case it turns the blog into a verbal argument.

I'm just trying to tell you from experience, we were arguing yesterday for an hour and there was really no point.. Lol. I'm just trying to help you out, because the blog is a good place until it turns into a war zone. Now, If there was a Cat4 Hurricane barreling towards the U.S. Someplace... This Blog would be insanely packed with arguments, that's when most people turn to other blogs or forums where there is more control over the users and more stability in the discussions. :/
That's one of the reasons I made my forums..

JTWC latest advisory on Gonu. Link

Gonu expected to strengthen into 120 MPH cyclone.

Gonu is getting very strong.

sorry if u felt i was attacking u drakoen .... well i wasn't

hey not to change the subject bout did you see the 10 day run on the gfsx it shows another storm south of fla . what you guys think i know its long range but is was right in predicting barry any thoughts

Shear is probably going to be too high for the next 10 days

Link Shows Gonu as a 5.5, that would be about 117 MPH.

The low is getting closer to the water.

Don't think that would happen.

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 03/2100Z 34.5N 77.0W
12HR VT 04/0600Z 38.0N 75.2W
24HR VT 04/1800Z 42.3N 73.7W
36HR VT 05/0600Z...OVER CANADA
Link

Louisianaboy- There is no forecast on Wind Shear outside of 120 hours.. Winds are difficult to forecast outside of a few days, let alone 10 days, What do you base your prediction on?


By the way, I've posted a new blog entry, please feel free to read it!! Thanks!

Michael- WOW.. 77Dbz.. Off the scale.. Insane, and over 4 inch in diameter Hail.. I would hate to be underneath that storm. That will do some damage.

Odessa about to get slammed...

ya 77 DBZ that is really rough...

Is that hook forming at the end of the loop?

No WPB- Not a hook echo.. That's a Nasty hail storm though.. 3 inch hail.

TORNADO WARNING
TXC135-032245-
/O.NEW.KMAF.TO.W.0052.070603T2148Z-070603T2245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
448 PM CDT SUN JUN 3 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL ECTOR COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 446 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE
WINKLER/ECTOR COUNTY LINE. THIS STORM IS 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
NOTREES...OR 14 MILES EAST OF KERMIT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
NOTREES...
PENWELL...
WEST ODESSA...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY... CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 597 3220.

LAT...LON 3201 10247 3170 10246 3168 10279 3204 10278

$$

No WPB- Not a hook echo.. That's a Nasty hail storm though.. 3 inch hail.

NWS issued a Tornado Warning just in case.

WPB- North of the hooking part is a pretty nasty TVS though.. Probably a tornado forming somewhere in that storm.

Lol ok nevermind.. beat me to it. :O