Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Tornado kills two in Missouri; more tornadoes on tap for today

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 12:53 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007

The tropical Atlantic is quiet today, and none of the reliable models are predicting tropical cyclone formation over the next five days.

At approximately 12:15 am CDT this morning, a tornado near Paris, Missouri, killed two people when it ripped apart their mobile home and tossed them 400 feet away. At least four other tornadoes hit Missouri yesterday, and two tornadoes touched down in Texas, and one each in Louisiana and Mississippi. The driver of a Petal Water & Sewer service truck was hospitalized in Mississippi after strong winds picked up his truck and tossed it across I-59.

Another severe weather outbreak is expected today in the U.S., from the Mississippi Valley northward through the Tennessee Valley and the Great Lakes. Tornado Watches have already been posted, and today's severe weather has the potential to generate a few strong, long-track tornadoes. You can follow the outbreak today on our new interactive tornado map, which will post the tornado damage reports as they are received. The new feature also allows one to plot all the historical tornado activity back to 1950 for any region in the U.S. If you take a wunderphoto of a tornadic storm or tornado damage, and click on the "tornado" type of image flag when uploading it, our software will attempt to match your photo to the storm report for that tornado. These photos will then be available when you click on a storm report on the interactive tornado page. One of the storm reports for Missouri yesterday has several wunderphotos of the thunderstorm that spawned the tornado available, thanks to wunderphotographer Paleohebrew.

Jeff Masters

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Pensacola Tornado (Mslider31)

Looking west down Cervantes from Barcelona.

Categories: Tornado

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451. extreme236 08:10 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
I wonder if TD 01F will become a TS in the south pacific ocean...I know there is some shear in the area though that could limit further strengthening Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

454. SomeRandomTexan 08:11 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
NRAamy lol...rofl....lol So true Member Since: August 30, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1814

455. aubiesgirl 08:12 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
looks like it's a lil north of PC

457. extreme236 08:12 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
im thinking that Karen will be one of the latter TC reports the NHC will issue...as there is a lot more data and info needed to be looked over to confirm if karen was a cane, which IMO she was based upon satillite imagery Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

458. Bonedog 08:14 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
where aubies? I dont see anything close to PC on the vort images. Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

459. TerraNova 08:15 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Good afternoon all. Member Since: Juli 30, 2007 Posts: 76 Comments: 4058

461. aubiesgirl 08:17 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Perhaps I'm mistaken..lol..

462. TampaSpin 08:19 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Bonedog that has to be a very large spinner....the way it is showing on radar. Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747

463. NEwxguy 08:20 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
looks like a spin offshore moving toward pcb or just south of pcb Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 816 Comments: 13132

464. Bonedog 08:12 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
House are you looking at the cell NE of Panama City right around I-10? Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

465. TerraNova 08:13 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
-duplicate Member Since: Juli 30, 2007 Posts: 76 Comments: 4058

466. weatherkid23 08:13 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
will a squal line develop out of the storms on the Mississippi- Alabama border Member Since: September 28, 2007 Posts: 33 Comments: 68

467. BajaALemt 08:14 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Hey Gryff...good to see you.....I'm in Panama City Beach...rainin like a dog here

468. TampaSpin 08:16 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Bone you can truly see the spin on radar...thats a very large spin. Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747

469. Floodman 08:16 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
447. NRAamy 3:08 PM CDT on October 18, 2007 How can you fault the media for hyping when people go out and buy the most sensational stuff the media can print? You mean like crotch shots of spoiled brats and bathing suit shots of saggy-bottomed pseudo-celebs? EXACTLY! It's a sad state of affairs when main stream media reports like the old yellow press used to... Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9919

470. Bonedog 08:17 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
need verification.... I am seeing a spin on the vort NE of PC right about I-10. Grren field that comes to a point with red and grey and the very end of itLink Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

472. NEwxguy 08:17 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
looks like some turning off shore moving toward pcb Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 816 Comments: 13132

473. utilaeastwind 08:21 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
The flare up south of Jamaica seems to be converging towards 77.4 14.9 with some spiraling. Very impressive. Looks like something’s brewing! Link Member Since: Oktober 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 192

474. Bonedog 08:21 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
the one at the northern edge went back into the line. I am now looking due east of there does anyone else see this cell? Its just near I-10 Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

476. TerraNova 08:22 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
I just heard about the tornado in Pensacola...storms are still firing up in eastern Alabama. Low level shear is high which will further fuel supercell activity. A large flow from the south is also creating instability across the moderate risk area which should soon see an increase in thunderstorm activity (Mesoscale Discussion #2111). Member Since: Juli 30, 2007 Posts: 76 Comments: 4058

477. TerraNova 08:24 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Sorry about the duplicate posts...the blog's lagging badly for me. Member Since: Juli 30, 2007 Posts: 76 Comments: 4058

478. Bonedog 08:24 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
No your not House. Looks like its getting its act together. Just over I-10 right now moving NE Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

479. kmanislander 08:25 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
good afternoon eveyone The S Caribbean is starting to look interesting. There is an anticyclone sitting right on top of the southern end of the convection that has flared up and shear is a very low 5 knots. In addition, the 850 mb vorticity analysis shows some spin in that very same area where the high is located overhead. If this scenario persists the ingredients for development are there ( albeit perhaps slow ) Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 14939

481. Bonedog 08:26 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
NE I do see something over water south of PC. looks like something right at the edge of the line. Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

482. NEwxguy 08:26 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
bone,can't make out rotation now,seems to have blended in Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 816 Comments: 13132

484. kmanislander 08:27 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Here is the corresponding shear map Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 14939

485. Bonedog 08:29 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
radar velocity just updated where I spotted the hook before has an embeded high volicity pixle in it. Might be something there if it persists a few frames. The other cell is past I-10 now moving NE. The cell over the water is loosing its spin on the last frame Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

486. nrtiwlnvragn 08:29 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 326 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MARIANNA... SEMINOLE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... * UNTIL 400 PM CDT/500 PM EDT/ * AT 322 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A DEVELOPING TORNADO NEAR MARIANNA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... MARIANNA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT BY 335 PM CDT... DELLWOOD AND TWO EGG BY 355 PM CDT... LOVEDALE...PARRAMORE AND HAYNES BY 400 PM CDT... Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 8943

487. TerraNova 08:29 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
What's that fast-moving cloud pattern just north of Honduras? Is that the TUTT? Wouldn't that affect development of the Caribbean system? Link Member Since: Juli 30, 2007 Posts: 76 Comments: 4058

488. Bonedog 08:30 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Warning issued for the hook. 5 minute lead time. Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

489. BajaALemt 08:30 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
We just got the warning, Bone.... It's up by Marianna

490. Bonedog 08:31 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
thats the one. sorry guys :( wish my pixles wouldn't do that :( Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

491. gulfbreezewill 08:31 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Well guys, I just got back from doing some preliminary inspection of the downtown area of Pensacola. There is some pretty severe areas of damage. Its a good thing this tornado was not wide, otherwise it would have really been a mess. As usual, there are plenty of sight seeing.......had to park and walk aways to get to some of the destruction. That day care offical that moved those kids was very heads up. Well I have reports to write. More inspections tomorrow. What is the latest on the storm east of us over toward PC? Also have any of you heard of any hail being produced from this system?

493. extreme236 08:33 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
487. TerraNova 8:29 PM GMT on October 18, 2007 What's that fast-moving cloud pattern just north of Honduras? Is that the TUTT? Wouldn't that affect development of the Caribbean system? that may be the ULL that has been tracking across the caribbean for the past few days...it should eventually move into mexico over the next several days and is quickly moving westward Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

494. Bonedog 08:33 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Just crossed I-10 heading NE Member Since: Juli 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

495. kmanislander 08:34 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
TerraNova Those clouds are the SE side of the Northerly flow being generated by the ULL that can be seen in this WV image as being almost out of the NW Caribbean. The fact that shear is only 5 knots over the convection means that the ULL is far enough away to not have an impact on the area of convection. Apparently the ULL is pulling away faster than the convection is moving W. ( Sorry wrong image; correct image follows ) Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 14939

497. BajaALemt 08:35 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Bone? They're saying on the news here that'll be in SW Georgia in about 20 minutes

498. NEwxguy 08:35 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
tornado warning issued for antrim county in Michigan now Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 816 Comments: 13132

500. TampaSpin 08:36 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
Bonedog they just posted a warning on that storm Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747

501. TerraNova 08:36 PM GMT am 18. Oktober 2007
What is the latest on the storm east of us over toward PC? Also have any of you heard of any hail being produced from this system? A line of strong thunderstorms is right over PC right now...hail might be occuring anywhere from Panama City north to west of Tallahassee. A supercell storm likely with large hail is also just north of Mobile. Storms with high VIL (Vertically Integrated Liquid) usually are producing hail...indicated in the VIL radar with the brighter greens and yellows (greater then 20 kg/m^2 in the radar legend). Member Since: Juli 30, 2007 Posts: 76 Comments: 4058

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